金融网络中的系统性风险与稳定性

Systemic Risk and Stability in Financial Networks

American Economic Review · 2015
被引 1752 · 同刊同年前 1%
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

论文发现金融传染程度存在相变:当负面冲击较小时,更密集的金融网络增强稳定性;但超过某临界点后,密集连接反而传播冲击,使系统更脆弱。

Abstract

This paper argues that the extent of financial contagion exhibits a form of phase transition: as long as the magnitude of negative shocks affecting financial institutions are sufficiently small, a more densely connected financial network (corresponding to a more diversified pattern of interbank liabilities) enhances financial stability. However, beyond a certain point, dense interconnections serve as a mechanism for the propagation of shocks, leading to a more fragile financial system. Our results thus highlight that the same factors that contribute to resilience under certain conditions may function as significant sources of systemic risk under others.

金融传染相变网络连通性金融稳定