应计质量、股票回报与宏观经济状况

Accruals Quality, Stock Returns, and Macroeconomic Conditions

Accounting Review · 2010
被引 165
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

研究了应计质量(AQ)是否影响股权资本成本,发现AQ风险因子被显著定价,且其定价效应随经济周期变化,在经济扩张期存在风险溢价,衰退期则消失。

Abstract

ABSTRACT: This study examines whether and how earnings quality, measured as accruals quality (AQ), affects the cost of equity capital. Using two-stage cross-sectional regression tests, we find that the AQ risk factor is significantly priced, after controlling for low-priced stocks. This result is robust in tests using individual stocks, various portfolio formations, and different beta estimations. Furthermore, we show that AQ and its pricing effect systematically vary with business cycles and macroeconomic variables. In particular, this pricing effect is prominent in total AQ and innate AQ but not in discretionary AQ. The risk premium associated with AQ exists only in economic expansion but not in recession periods. Poorer AQ firms are more vulnerable to macroeconomic shocks. The risk premium and the dispersion of AQ are also related to future economic activity. Overall, our results suggest that AQ contributes to the cost of equity capital and that its pricing effect is associated with fundamental risk.

应计质量股权资本成本宏观经济周期风险定价