框架效应在库存决策中的应用

The Use of Framing in Inventory Decisions

Production and Operations Management · 2017
被引 46
FT 50UTD 24ABS 4

中文导读

通过实验研究框架效应能否改变报童模型中的风险偏好以优化订货决策,发现单次提问时出现风险逆转,但多次提问时无此效果,表明框架效应不可靠且需结合情境测试。

Abstract

It is well established that human newsvendors tend to order insufficient inventory in high‐margin situations, possibly due to implicit risk aversion. In this study, we investigate the use of framing to change newsvendors’ risk preference in order to induce them to make better ordering decisions. Through an exploratory experiment and five different treatments of the newsvendor problem, we found risk reversal only in the treatments with one question. In the other four treatments and the exploratory experiment, we asked multiple questions and found no evidence of risk reversal. Thus, we conclude that risk reversal cannot reliably be used without pretesting and that behavioral theories need to be tested in context. Finally, we reaffirm research showing that relying on averages can mask the heterogeneity of human decision‐making.

库存管理行为经济学决策心理学供应链管理