大规模枪击事件对枪支政策的影响

The impact of mass shootings on gun policy

Journal of Public Economics · 2019
被引 109 · 同刊同年前 9%
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

研究发现,大规模枪击事件会显著增加州内枪支法案的提出数量(增加15%),但实际通过的法律效果取决于执政党:共和党控制的州会加倍放宽枪支限制,而民主党控制的州则无明显变化。

Abstract

There have been dozens of high-profile mass shootings in recent decades. This paper presents three main findings about the impact of mass shootings on gun policy. First, mass shootings evoke large policy responses. A single mass shooting leads to a 15% increase in the number of firearm bills introduced within a state in the year after a mass shooting. This effect increases with the extent of media coverage. Second, mass shootings account for a small portion of all gun deaths but have an outsized influence relative to other homicides. Third, when looking at bills that were actually enacted into law, the impact of mass shootings depends on the party in power. The annual number of laws that loosen gun restrictions doubles in the year following a mass shooting in states with Republican-controlled legislatures. We find no significant effect of mass shootings on laws enacted when there is a Democrat-controlled legislature, nor do we find a significant effect of mass shootings on the enactment of laws that tighten gun restrictions.

大规模枪击事件枪支政策立法反应党派政治