含虚拟内生回归元的双变量Probit模型推广中的估计

Estimation in a generalization of bivariate probit models with dummy endogenous regressors

Journal of Applied Econometrics · 2019
被引 29
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

提出一种半参数估计框架,用参数Copula和非参数边际分布处理双变量阈值交叉模型中的设定偏误,通过模拟和实例展示其对平均处理效应估计的稳健性。

Abstract

Summary The purpose of this paper is to provide guidelines for empirical researchers who use a class of bivariate threshold crossing models with dummy endogenous variables. A common practice employed by the researchers is the specification of the joint distribution of unobservables as a bivariate normal distribution, which results in a bivariate probit model . To address the problem of misspecification in this practice, we propose an easy‐to‐implement semiparametric estimation framework with parametric copula and nonparametric marginal distributions. We establish asymptotic theory, including root‐ n normality, for the sieve maximum likelihood estimators that can be used to conduct inference on the individual structural parameters and the average treatment effect (ATE). In order to show the practical relevance of the proposed framework, we conduct a sensitivity analysis via extensive Monte Carlo simulation exercises. The results suggest that estimates of the parameters, especially the ATE, are sensitive to parametric specification, while semiparametric estimation exhibits robustness to underlying data‐generating processes. We then provide an empirical illustration where we estimate the effect of health insurance on doctor visits. In this paper, we also show that the absence of excluded instruments may result in identification failure, in contrast to what some practitioners believe.

双变量probit模型虚拟内生变量半参数估计平均处理效应