低频变异性模型的检验

Testing Models of Low-Frequency Variability

Econometrica · 2008
被引 99
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

提出一个框架,通过计算原始数据的低频加权平均来提取低频信息,并与常见时间序列模型的渐近性质比较,用于评估模型对低频变异性的解释能力,并应用于20个美国宏观经济和金融时间序列。

Abstract

We develop a framework to assess how successfully standard time series models explain low-frequency variability of a data series. The low-frequency information is extracted by computing a finite number of weighted averages of the original data, where the weights are low-frequency trigonometric series. The properties of these weighted averages are then compared to the asymptotic implications of a number of common time series models. We apply the framework to twenty U.S. macroeconomic and financial time series using frequencies lower than the business cycle. Copyright 2008 The Econometric Society.

低频变异时间序列模型谱分析宏观经济序列