经济自由与经济增长文献中的发表偏倚

Publication Bias in the Economic Freedom and Economic Growth Literature

Journal of Economic Surveys · 2005
被引 210
人大 AABS 2

中文导读

用漏斗图、元显著性检验等方法,发现经济自由对经济增长有真实正向效应,但该领域文献存在严重发表偏倚,且使用综合指标时偏倚更强。

Abstract

Abstract. The impact of institutions on economic performance has attracted significant attention from researchers, as well as from policy reformers. A rapidly growing area in this literature is the impact of economic freedom on economic growth. The aim of this paper was to explore publication bias in this literature by means of traditional funnel plots, meta-significance testing, as well as by bootstrapping these meta-significance tests. When all the available estimates are combined and averaged, there seems to be evidence of a genuine and positive economic freedom – economic growth effect. However, it is also shown that the economic freedom – economic growth literature is tainted strongly with publication bias. The existence of publication bias makes it difficult to identify the magnitude of the genuine effect of economic freedom on economic growth. The paper explores the differences between aggregate and disaggregate measures of economic freedom and shows that selection effects are stronger when aggregate measures are used.

出版偏倚经济自由经济增长元分析