欧洲的货币同居

Monetary Cohabitation in Europe

American Economic Review · 1996
被引 28
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

比较欧洲货币联盟第三阶段中“内部”与“外部”国家协调货币政策的机制,认为欧洲层面的通胀目标制能增强国内可信度、避免竞争性贬值,并自动稳定实际汇率,近似最优国际合作政策。

Abstract

How can monetary policy in stage III of European Monetary Union be coordinated between the ''ins'' and the ''outs''? This paper compares alternative institutional mechanisms, and concludes that a generalized system of inflation targets at the European level has several merits. It strengthens domestic credibility of monetary policy. It rules out deliberate attempts to gain competitiveness through devaluations. It forces monetary policy to respond automatically to various macroeconomic shocks which is stabilizing for the real exchange rate. It distributes these shocks symmetrically across countries. On the basis of a simple theoretical model of policy coordination, the paper shows that a system of inflation targets approximates an optimal policy of international cooperation. Preliminary empirical evidence supports these theoretical results.

欧洲货币联盟货币政策协调通胀目标制汇率稳定