欧元区货币政策对产业的影响

The Industry Effects of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area

Economic Journal · 2005
被引 263
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

估计了1980-98年欧元区货币政策对七个国家十一个产业产出增长的影响,发现加息在衰退期影响更大,且产业间差异主要源于产品耐用性和金融结构。

Abstract

We first estimate the effects of a euro area-wide monetary policy change on output growth in eleven industries of seven euro area countries over the period 1980-98. On average the negative effect of an interest rate tightening on output is significantly greater in recessions than in booms. There is, however, considerable cross-industry heterogeneity in both the overall policy effects and the degree of asymmetry across the two business cycle phases. We then explore which industry characteristics can account for this cross-industry heterogeneity. Differences in the overall policy effects can mainly be explained by the durability of the goods produced in the sector. This can be regarded as evidence for the conventional interest rate/cost-of-capital channel. In contrast, differences in the degree of asymmetry of policy effects are related to differences in financial structure, in particular the maturity structure of debt, the coverage ratio, financial leverage and firm size. This suggests that financial accelerator mechanisms can partly explain cross-industry differences in asymmetry. Copyright 2005 Royal Economic Society.

货币政策行业异质性产出增长金融加速器