Implications of higher global food prices for poverty in low‐income countries1
研究了全球主粮价格上涨对低收入国家贫困的影响，发现短期影响因商品和国家而异，但总体上贫困增加更频繁且幅度更大，可能显著加剧整体贫困。
Abstract In many poor countries, the recent increases in prices of staple foods have raised the real incomes of those selling food, many of whom are relatively poor, while hurting net food consumers, many of whom are also relatively poor. The impacts on poverty will certainly be very diverse, but the average impact on poverty depends upon the balance between these two effects, and can only be determined by looking at real‐world data. Results using household data for 10 observations on nine low‐income countries show that the short‐run impacts of higher staple food prices on poverty differ considerably by commodity and by country, but that poverty increases are much more frequent, and larger, than poverty reductions. The recent large increases in food prices appear likely to raise overall poverty in low‐income countries substantially.