战略资产配置中的动量与均值回归

Momentum and Mean Reversion in Strategic Asset Allocation

Management Science · 2009
被引 67
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

构建了一个连续时间模型,研究股票收益短期动量和长期均值回归下的动态资产配置问题,推导出最优投资策略的闭式解,并发现动量显著提升了对冲投资机会时变的经济价值。

Abstract

We study a dynamic asset allocation problem in which stock returns exhibit short-run momentum and long-run mean reversion. We develop a tractable continuous-time model that captures these two predictability features and derive the optimal investment strategy in closed form. The model predicts negative hedging demands for medium-term investors, and an allocation to stocks that is nonmonotonic in the investor's horizon. Momentum substantially increases the economic value of hedging time variation in investment opportunities. These utility gains are preserved when we impose realistic borrowing and short-sales constraints and allow the investor to trade on a monthly frequency.

动量效应均值回归战略资产配置最优投资策略