误设定下的分位数回归及其在美国工资结构中的应用

Quantile Regression under Misspecification, with an Application to the U.S. Wage Structure

Econometrica · 2006
被引 352
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

证明分位数回归在模型误设定时仍能最小化加权均方误差,给出遗漏变量偏误公式和偏分位数回归概念,并用美国普查工资数据展示1990-2000年不平等变化。

Abstract

Quantile regression (QR) fits a linear model for conditional quantiles just as ordinary least squares (OLS) fits a linear model for conditional means. An attractive feature of OLS is that it gives the minimum mean-squared error linear approximation to the conditional expectation function even when the linear model is misspecified. Empirical research using quantile regression with discrete covariates suggests that QR may have a similar property, but the exact nature of the linear approximation has remained elusive. In this paper, we show that QR minimizes a weighted mean-squared error loss function for specification error. The weighting function is an average density of the dependent variable near the true conditional quantile. The weighted least squares interpretation of QR is used to derive an omitted variables bias formula and a partial quantile regression concept, similar to the relationship between partial regression and OLS. We also present asymptotic theory for the QR process under misspecification of the conditional quantile function. The approximation properties of QR are illustrated using wage data from the U.S. census. These results point to major changes in inequality from 1990 to 2000. Copyright The Econometric Society 2006.

分位数回归模型误设线性近似工资结构