“全球失衡”与低利率的均衡模型

An Equilibrium Model of “Global Imbalances” and Low Interest Rates

American Economic Review · 2008
被引 1041 · 同刊同年前 4%
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

构建一个均衡模型,解释美国经常账户赤字持续上升、长期实际利率下降以及全球投资组合中美国资产增加等现象,认为根源在于不同地区从实体投资中生成金融资产的能力差异。

Abstract

The sustained rise in US current account deficits, the stubborn decline in long-run real rates, and the rise in US assets in global portfolios appear as anomalies from the perspective of conventional models. This paper rationalizes these facts as an equilibrium outcome when different regions of the world differ in their capacity to generate financial assets from real investments. Extensions of the basic model generate exchange rate and foreign direct investment excess returns broadly consistent with the recent trends in these variables. The framework is flexible enough to shed light on a range of scenarios in a global equilibrium environment.

全球失衡低利率资产供给均衡模型