格兰杰表示定理:I(1)过程的闭式表达式

Granger's representation theorem: A closed‐form expression for I(1) processes

Econometrics Journal · 2005
被引 72
ABS 3

中文导读

给出了格兰杰表示定理的新证明,推导出协整向量自回归过程各分量的闭式表达式,统一处理不同确定性设定,对脉冲响应分析和结构变化协整模型研究有用。

Abstract

The Granger representation theorem states that a cointegrated vector autoregressive process can be decomposed into four components: a random walk, a stationary process, a deterministic part, and a term that depends on the initial values. In this paper, we present a new proof of the theorem. This proof enables us to derive closed-form expressions of all terms of the representation and allows a unified treatment of models with different deterministic specifications. The applicability of our results is illustrated by examples. For example, the closed-form expressions are useful for impulse response analyses and facilitate the analysis of cointegration models with structural changes. Copyright 2005 Royal Economic Society

计量经济学时间序列分析协整理论