Macroeconomic Impacts of Canadian Immigration: Results from a Macro Model
使用宏观计量预测模型模拟加拿大移民增加对GDP、人均GDP、投资、生产率、政府收支等的影响，发现总体正面且不影响失业率，但新移民融入困难且贫困率上升。
Abstract We use a macro‐econometric forecasting model to simulate the impact on the C anadian economy of a hypothetical increase in immigration. Our simulations generally yield positive impacts on such factors as real gross domestic product ( GDP ) and GDP per capita, aggregate demand, investment, productivity, and government expenditures, taxes and especially net government balances, with essentially no impact on unemployment. This is generally buttressed by conclusions reached in the existing literature. Our analysis suggests that concern should be with respect to immigrants themselves, as they are having an increasingly difficult time assimilating into the Canadian labour market, and new immigrants are increasingly falling into poverty.