有限理性与策略互动:策略环境对名义惯性的影响

Limited Rationality and Strategic Interaction: The Impact of the Strategic Environment on Nominal Inertia

Econometrica · 2008
被引 36
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

实验发现,货币冲击后价格调整受两种有限理性(货币幻觉和锚定)影响,但策略环境决定其效果:策略替代时调整快,策略互补时调整慢且实际效应大,差异源于预期理性程度不同。

Abstract

Much evidence suggests that people are heterogeneous with regard to their abilities to make rational, forward-looking decisions. This raises the question as to when the rational types are decisive for aggregate outcomes and when the boundedly rational types shape aggregate results. We examine this question in the context of a long-standing and important economic problem: the adjustment of nominal prices after an anticipated monetary shock. Our experiments suggest that two types of bounded rationality-money illusion and anchoring-are important behavioral forces behind nominal inertia. However, depending on the strategic environment, bounded rationality has vastly different effects on aggregate price adjustment. If agents' actions are strategic substitutes, adjustment to the new equilibrium is extremely quick, whereas under strategic complementarity, adjustment is both very slow and associated with relatively large real effects. This adjustment difference is driven by price expectations, which are very flexible and forward-looking under substitutability but adaptive and sticky under complementarity. Moreover, subjects' expectations are also considerably more rational under substitutability. Copyright The Econometric Society 2008.

有限理性名义惯性战略互补战略替代