投资的双重计算

Double Counting of Investment

Economic Journal · 2021
被引 39
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

研究发现国民收入账户中投资被重复计算,导致GDP和国民收入高估可持续消费;基于永久收入调整后,美国劳动收入份额保持稳定而非下降。

Abstract

Abstract The national-income accounts double-count investment, which enters once when it occurs and again in present value as rental income on added capital. The double counting implies that GDP and national income overstate sustainable consumption. An alternative measure, ‘permanent income’, equals consumption in the steady state but deviates from consumption outside of the steady state because expensing of gross investment applies to the long-run flow, not the current value. The permanent-income perspective substantially affects measured factor-income shares. When computed in relation to permanent income, the US labour-income share has been reasonably stable, in contrast to the declining share based on GDP.

国民收入核算双重计算永久收入劳动收入份额