对基本面了解越多,价格分歧反而越大

The More We Know about the Fundamental, the Less We Agree on the Price

Review of Economic Studies · 2012
被引 111
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

在标准差异信息模型中引入交易期限异质性,解释了公开公告后交易量、价格波动和私人信息融入价格增加的现象,并发现公告可能加剧短期交易者对售价的分歧,即使降低了对基本面的分歧。

Abstract

I allow trading horizon heterogeneity across groups in a standard differential information model of a financial market. This approach can explain the well-established phenomenon that, after a public announcement, trading volume increases, more private information is incorporated into prices and volatility increases. In such environments, public information has the important secondary role of helping agents learn about the information of other agents. Therefore, whenever the correlation between the private information of different groups is sufficiently low, a public announcement increases disagreement among short-horizon traders regarding the expected selling price even as it decreases disagreement about the fundamental value of the asset. Additional testable implications are also suggested.

交易期限异质性公开信息意见分歧交易量价格波动