世界经济中的财政规则与自由裁量权

Fiscal Rules and Discretion in a World Economy

American Economic Review · 2018
被引 70
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究了各国政府因偏好当前支出而存在的赤字倾向,比较了协调与非协调的财政规则,发现规则松紧取决于政府短视程度,并分析了盈余限制和外部储蓄的影响。

Abstract

Governments are present-biased toward spending. Fiscal rules are deficit limits that trade off commitment to not overspend and flexibility to react to shocks. We compare coordinated rules, chosen jointly by a group of countries, to uncoordinated rules. If governments’ present bias is small, coordinated rules are tighter than uncoordinated rules: individual countries do not internalize the redistributive effect of interest rates. However, if the bias is large, coordinated rules are slacker: countries do not internalize the disciplining effect of interest rates. Surplus limits enhance welfare, and increased savings by some countries or outside economies can hurt the rest.

财政规则协调规则非协调规则现时偏差