Fiscal Rules and Discretion in a World Economy
研究了各国政府因偏好当前支出而存在的赤字倾向,比较了协调与非协调的财政规则,发现规则松紧取决于政府短视程度,并分析了盈余限制和外部储蓄的影响。
Governments are present-biased toward spending. Fiscal rules are deficit limits that trade off commitment to not overspend and flexibility to react to shocks. We compare coordinated rules, chosen jointly by a group of countries, to uncoordinated rules. If governments’ present bias is small, coordinated rules are tighter than uncoordinated rules: individual countries do not internalize the redistributive effect of interest rates. However, if the bias is large, coordinated rules are slacker: countries do not internalize the disciplining effect of interest rates. Surplus limits enhance welfare, and increased savings by some countries or outside economies can hurt the rest.