国家财富在公元前1000年就已决定了吗?

Was the Wealth of Nations Determined in 1000 BC?

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics · 2010
被引 343
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

研究了公元前1000年、公元0年和1500年的技术采用数据,发现技术差异在长期内惊人地持久,且1500年的技术与当今人均收入和技术采用关联最强。

Abstract

We assemble a dataset on technology adoption in 1000 BC, 0 AD, and 1500 AD for the predecessors to today's nation states. Technological differences are surprisingly persistent over long periods of time. Our most interesting, strong, and robust results are for the association of 1500 AD technology with per capita income and technology adoption today. We also find robust and significant technological persistence from 1000 BC to 0 AD, and from 0 AD to 1500 AD. The evidence is consistent with a model where the cost of adopting new technologies declines sufficiently with the current level of adoption.

技术采纳技术持久性长期经济增长历史技术差异