商业周期两国模型中的品味与技术:解释国际现象

Tastes and technology in a two-country model of the business cycle: Explaining international

American Economic Review · 1995
被引 667 · 同刊同年前 9%
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

构建包含非贸易品的两国商业周期模型,发现技术冲击无法解释部门层面的消费与价格联动,而品味冲击能产生更符合数据的量价关系。

Abstract

Trade on international financial markets allows people to insure country-specific risk and smooth consumption intertemporally. Equilibrium models of business cycles with trade on global financial markets typically yield international consumption correlations near one and excessive volatility of investment. The authors incorporate nontraded goods in the model and find that the implications for aggregate consumption, investment, and the trade balance are consistent with business-cycle properties of industrialized countries. However, the model driven by technology shocks alone yields counterfactual implications for comovements between consumption and prices at the sectoral level. Taste shocks produce price-quantity relationships more consistent with the data. Copyright 1995 by American Economic Association.

非贸易品技术冲击偏好冲击国际商业周期