积分波动率及相关过程的有效估计

EFFICIENT ESTIMATION OF INTEGRATED VOLATILITY AND RELATED PROCESSES

Econometric Theory · 2016
被引 32 · 同刊同年前 9%
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

推导了瞬时方差积分平滑变换的非参数效率界,发现已实现方差在规则和不规则采样下均达到积分方差的效率界,并给出了接近非参数界的估计方法。

Abstract

We derive nonparametric efficiency bounds for regular estimators of integrated smooth transformations of instantaneous variances, in particular, integrated power variance. We find that realized variance attains the efficiency bound for integrated variance under both regular and irregular sampling schemes. For estimating higher powers such as integrated quarticity, the block-based procedures of Mykland and Zhang (2009) can get arbitrarily close to the nonparametric bounds, when observation times are equidistant. Moreover, the estimator in Jacod and Rosenbaum (2013), whose efficiency was documented for the submodel assuming constant volatility, is efficient also for nonconstant volatility paths. When the observation times are possibly random but predictable, we provide an estimator, similar to that of Kristensen (2010), which can get arbitrarily close to the nonparametric bound. Finally, parametric information about the functional form of volatility leads to a lower efficiency bound, unless the volatility process is piecewise constant.

积分波动率非参数效率界已实现方差积分四次幂