Stock Options and Credit Default Swaps: A Joint Framework for Valuation and Estimation
提出了一个动态一致的框架,用于联合估值和估计同一参考公司发行的股票期权和信用违约互换,模型考虑了违约随机性和市场风险与信用风险的交互作用。
We propose a dynamically consistent framework that allows joint valuation and estimation of stock options and credit default swaps written on the same reference company. We model default as controlled by a Cox process with a stochastic arrival rate. When default occurs, the stock price drops to zero. Prior to default, the stock price follows a jump-diffusion process with stochastic volatility. The instantaneous default rate and variance rate follow a bivariate continuous process, with its joint dynamics specified to capture the observed behavior of stock option prices and credit default swap spreads. Under this joint specification, we propose a tractable valuation methodology for stock options and credit default swaps. We estimate the joint risk dynamics using data from both markets for eight companies that span five sectors and six major credit rating classes from B to AAA. The estimation highlights the interaction between market risk (return variance) and credit risk (default arrival) in pricing stock options and credit default swaps.