发电组合构成、关键动态与市场价格

Composition of Electricity Generation Portfolios, Pivotal Dynamics, and Market Prices

Management Science · 2009
被引 31
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

通过模拟研究发电技术多样化如何影响批发市场价格,发现供需比是中介变量,且存在阈值改变关键动态,导致多样化对价格的影响呈非线性。

Abstract

We use simulations to study how the diversification of electricity generation portfolios influences wholesale prices. We find that the relationship between technological diversification and market prices is mediated by the supply-to-demand ratio. In each demand case there is a threshold where pivotal dynamics change. Pivotal dynamics pre- and post-threshold are the cause of nonlinearities in the influence of diversification on market prices. The findings are robust to changes in the main market assumptions.

发电组合关键性动态市场价格供需比