在有限信息下计算成本时获得信息一致的决策

Obtaining Informationally Consistent Decisions When Computing Costs with Limited Information

Production and Operations Management · 2016
被引 11
FT 50UTD 24ABS 4

中文导读

研究了基于有限信息的产品成本决策如何通过事后数据更新实现信息一致性,发现简单启发式方法能快速找到固定点解,对成本系统研究有启示。

Abstract

We demonstrate the need to view in a dynamic context any decision based on limited information. We focus on the use of product costs in selecting the product portfolio. We show how ex post data regarding the actual costs from implementing the decision leads to updating of product cost estimates and potentially trigger a revision of the initial decision. We model this updating process as a discrete dynamical system (DDS). We define a decision as informationally consistent if it is a fixed‐point solution to the DDS. We employ numerical analysis to characterize the existence and properties of such solutions. We find that fixed points are rare, but that simple heuristics find them often and quickly. We demonstrate the usefulness and robustness of our methodology by examining the interaction of limited information with multiple decision rules (heuristics) and problem features (size of product portfolio, profitability of product markets). We discuss implications for research on cost systems.

成本会计产品组合决策启发式方法动态系统