温水煮青蛙:连续信息与动量效应

Frog in the Pan: Continuous Information and Momentum

Review of Financial Studies · 2014
被引 311
人大 AFT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

研究发现,连续小幅信息比间断大幅信息更易被投资者忽视,导致更强的持续性价格动量且长期不反转,媒体关注可缓解该效应。

Abstract

We test a frog-in-the-pan (FIP) hypothesis that predicts investors are inattentive to information arriving continuously in small amounts. Intuitively, we hypothesize that a series of frequent gradual changes attracts less attention than infrequent dramatic changes. Consistent with the FIP hypothesis, we find that continuous information induces strong persistent return continuation that does not reverse in the long run. Momentum decreases monotonically from 5.94% for stocks with continuous information during their formation period to –2.07% for stocks with discrete information but similar cumulative formation-period returns. Higher media coverage coincides with discrete information and mitigates the stronger momentum following continuous information.

连续信息动量效应投资者注意力媒体覆盖