关联资产与产品市场中的泡沫、崩盘与内生不确定性

BUBBLES, CRASHES, AND ENDOGENOUS UNCERTAINTY IN LINKED ASSET AND PRODUCT MARKETS*

International Economic Review · 2016
被引 3
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

在实验室资产市场中,交易者交易一家公司的股票,该公司在关联产品市场中的利润决定股息。实验发现,实时信息披露和内生不确定性削弱了经验对泡沫的抑制作用。

Abstract

In laboratory asset markets, subjects trade shares of a firm whose profits in a linked product market determine dividends. Treatments vary whether dividend information is revealed once per period or in real time and whether the firm is controlled by a profit‐maximizing robot or human subject. The latter variation induces uncertainty about firm behavior, bridging the gap between laboratory and field markets. Our data replicate well‐known features of laboratory asset markets (e.g., bubbles), suggesting these are robust to a market‐based dividend process. Compared to a sample of previous experiments, both real‐time information revelation and endogenous uncertainty impede the bubble‐mitigating impact of experience.

资产市场泡沫内生不确定性产品市场关联实验经济学