Redenomination risk in eurozone corporate bond spreads
研究了欧元区国家政府债券利差向非金融公司债券的风险溢出,发现重新计价风险(与欧元可能分裂相关)显著影响公司债券定价,尤其在“软”欧元区国家。
We investigate the risk spillover from euro area government bond spreads (relative to a safe German government bond of similar maturity) to nonfinancial corporate bonds in France, the Netherlands (‘hard’ euro-area countries), and Italy, Portugal and Spain (‘soft’ euro-area countries). In addition to standard firm- and bond-specific determinants of corporate bonds (capturing liquidity and tax effects, and other euro area macroeconomic risks), we show that there is significant risk transfer from government bonds to the nonfinancial corporate sector. After decomposing the government bond spread into a default risk and a currency redenomination risk component, associated with a possible split in the euro, we find that redenomination risk has been a significant factor in the pricing of corporate bonds, particularly in the ‘soft’ euro-area countries.