全球化与能源消费之间的因果关系在全球化程度最高和最低的经济体中是双向还是单向的?

Is causality between globalization and energy consumption bidirectional or unidirectional in top and bottom globalized economies?

International Journal of Finance and Economics · 2021
被引 62 · 同刊同年前 7%
ABS 3

中文导读

使用1970-2017年季度数据,通过滚动和递归滚动格兰杰因果检验,发现20个全球化程度最高和最低经济体的全球化与能源消费间因果关系随时间变化,多数子样本中为双向因果。

Abstract

Abstract By using quarterly data over the period 1970Q1‐2017Q4, this paper examines the dynamic causal relationship between globalization and energy consumption by using rolling and recursive rolling Granger causality methods. This study is pioneering effort to examine the dynamic causal relationship between globalization and energy consumption using time‐varying Granger causality tests for 20 top and bottom globalized economies. The empirical results reveal that the dynamic causality relationship between globalization and energy consumption is time‐varying. Although, the causal relationship could not be observed for some of the study periods, bidirectional causality is found in many sub‐samples. From the empirical findings, we observe that unidirectional causality running from globalization to energy consumption has grievous impact on trade and environmental quality. In general, our empirical results resonate with the previous findings of globalization energy‐driven hypothesis, with significant policy implications for top and bottom globalized countries.

全球化能源消费格兰杰因果检验宏观经济国际贸易