Coordinated Capacity Reductions and Public Communication in the Airline Industry
研究美国传统航空公司是否通过财报电话会议沟通来协调减少竞争航线的座位供给,发现当所有传统航空公司同时讨论“运力纪律”时,座位数降低2%。
Abstract We investigate the allegation that legacy US airlines communicated via earnings calls to coordinate with other legacy airlines in offering fewer seats on competitive routes. To this end, we first use text analytics to build a novel dataset on communication among airlines about their capacity choices. Estimates from our preferred specification show that the number of offered seats is 2$\%$ lower when all legacy airlines in a market discuss the concept of “capacity discipline.” We verify that this reduction materializes only when legacy airlines communicate concurrently, and that it cannot be explained by other possibilities, including that airlines are simply announcing to investors their unilateral plans to reduce capacity, and then following through on those announcements.