经验法则:在相关流上并行运行的多种控制图的误报运行长度渐近独立

A rule of thumb: Run lengths to false alarm of many types of control charts run in parallel on dependent streams are asymptotically independent

Annals of Statistics · 2021
被引 2
ABS 4★

中文导读

研究了当多个相关序列并行监控时,不同控制图的误报运行长度在渐近意义下独立,并给出了平均运行长度的简单表达式,对工业过程监控有参考价值。

Abstract

Consider a process that produces a series of independent identically distributed vectors. A change in an underlying state may become manifest in a modification of one or more of the marginal distributions. Often, the dependence structure between coordinates is unknown, impeding surveillance based on the joint distribution. A popular approach is to construct control charts for each coordinate separately and raise an alarm the first time any (or some) of the control charts signals. The difficulty is obtaining an expression for the overall average run length to false alarm (ARL2FA). We argue that despite the dependence structure, when the process is in control, for large ARLs to false alarm, run lengths of many types of control charts run in parallel are asymptotically independent. Furthermore, often, in-control run lengths are asymptotically exponentially distributed, enabling uncomplicated asymptotic expressions for the ARL2FA. We prove this assertion for certain Cusum and Shiryaev–Roberts-type control charts and illustrate it by simulations.

统计过程控制控制图渐近理论多元监控