一类BEKK过程尾部行为的刻画:基于随机递归方程的方法

CHARACTERIZATION OF THE TAIL BEHAVIOR OF A CLASS OF BEKK PROCESSES: A STOCHASTIC RECURRENCE EQUATION APPROACH

Econometric Theory · 2021
被引 3
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

研究了一类多元BEKK-ARCH过程的严格平稳性和尾部行为,发现各分量的尾指数不同,并用加密货币日收益率数据进行了实证。

Abstract

We consider conditions for strict stationarity and ergodicity of a class of multivariate BEKK processes $(X_t : t=1,2,\ldots )$ and study the tail behavior of the associated stationary distributions. Specifically, we consider a class of BEKK-ARCH processes where the innovations are assumed to be Gaussian and a finite number of lagged $X_t$ ’s may load into the conditional covariance matrix of $X_t$ . By exploiting that the processes have multivariate stochastic recurrence equation representations, we show the existence of strictly stationary solutions under mild conditions, where only a fractional moment of $X_t$ may be finite. Moreover, we show that each component of the BEKK processes is regularly varying with some tail index. In general, the tail index differs along the components, which contrasts with most of the existing literature on the tail behavior of multivariate GARCH processes. Lastly, in an empirical illustration of our theoretical results, we quantify the model-implied tail index of the daily returns on two cryptocurrencies.

BEKK过程尾部指数随机递归方程严格平稳性