疫情中的住房市场:来自历史爆发的证据

Housing markets in a pandemic: Evidence from historical outbreaks

Journal of Urban Economics · 2021
被引 110 · 同刊同年前 9%
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

研究17世纪阿姆斯特丹鼠疫和19世纪巴黎霍乱爆发对住房市场的影响,发现房价短期大幅下跌但迅速恢复,表明城市对疫情冲击具有韧性。

Abstract

How do pandemics affect urban housing markets? This paper studies historical outbreaks of the plague in 17th-century Amsterdam and cholera in 19th-century Paris to answer this question. Based on micro-level transaction data, we show outbreaks resulted in large declines in house prices, and smaller declines in rent prices. We find particularly large reductions in house prices during the first six months of an epidemic, and in heavily-affected areas. However, these price shocks were only transitory, and both cities quickly reverted to their initial price paths. Our findings suggest these two cities were very resilient to major shocks originating from epidemics.

瘟疫住房价格租金市场韧性历史疫情