Does younger age at marriage affect divorce? Evidence from Johnson's Executive Order 11241
利用1965年约翰逊行政命令导致征兵政策变化，发现为逃避兵役而早婚的男性离婚率更低，且对长期结果影响很小。
Abstract Before President Johnson's Executive Order 11241 in August 1965, married men received lower draft priority for military service. As the Vietnam War escalated in the summer of 1965, anecdotal evidence suggests draft‐eligible men sought marriage to lower their likelihood of serving. This paper quantifies the effects of these Vietnam‐era policies on marriage and finds that they significantly reduced the age at first marriage and altered the choice of spouse. However, younger marriages induced by the war were less likely to result in divorce 15 years later. Evidence also suggests that these younger marriages had little effect on long‐term outcomes.