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技术说明:基于自助法的嵌套模拟预算分配

Technical Note—Bootstrap-based Budget Allocation for Nested Simulation

Operations Research · 2021
被引 19
人大 AFT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

针对嵌套模拟中如何分配有限仿真预算以提高精度的问题,提出一种基于自助法的分配规则,通过初始样本估计最优内外层样本量,并给出保证置信区间渐近有效性的规则。

Abstract

Nested simulation (also referred to as two-level simulation) finds a variety of applications such as financial risk measurement, and a central issue of nested simulation is how to allocate a finite amount of simulation budget to achieve the highest accuracy. In “Bootstrap-based Budget Allocation for Nested Simulation”, Zhang, Liu, and Wang propose a bootstrap-based rule for simulation budget allocation for nested simulation. By utilizing the asymptotically optimal inner- and outer-level sample sizes that are typically unknown, the proposed method employs bootstrap sampling on a small amount of initial samples to estimate the unknown optimal sample sizes, thus providing a reasonably good allocation rule for the main simulation. An allocation rule to ensure the asymptotic validity of confidence intervals is also given.

金融风险度量嵌套模拟仿真预算分配自助法