动态环境下带跳跃退化的马尔可夫加性过程

Markov additive processes for degradation with jumps under dynamic environments

Naval Research Logistics · 2021
被引 9
ABS 3

中文导读

本文用马尔可夫加性过程统一处理内部和外部随机因素引起的复杂跳跃退化,推导了福克-普朗克方程和可靠度函数的拉普拉斯表达式,并通过数值实验验证模型在动态环境下的灵活性。

Abstract

Abstract We use general Markov additive processes (Markov modulated Lévy processes) to integrally handle the complexity of degradation including internally‐induced and externally‐induced stochastic properties with complex jump mechanisms. The background component of the Markov additive process is a Markov chain defined on a finite state space; the additive component evolves as a Lévy subordinator under a certain background state, and may have instantaneous nonnegative jumps occurring at the time the background state switches. We derive the Fokker–Planck equations for such Markov modulated processes, based on which we derive Laplace expressions for reliability function and lifetime moments, represented by the infinitesimal generator matrices of Markov chain and the Lévy measure of Lévy subordinator. The superiority of our models is their flexibility in modeling degradation data with jumps under dynamic environments. Numerical experiments are used to demonstrate that our general models perform well.

退化建模马尔可夫过程可靠性分析随机过程