Work disability and the Northern Irish Troubles*
研究了1969-1998年北爱尔兰暴力冲突对平民永久性伤病导致的工作残疾的影响，发现冲突使工作残疾率增加28个百分点，主要通过心理健康问题起作用。
Abstract In this paper, we examine the labour market implications of permanent illness or injury from conflict among civilians. From 1969 to 1998, Northern Ireland experienced a violent ethnopolitical conflict characterized by terrorist bombing campaigns, sectarian killings and armed forces patrolling the streets. The consequences of this period for current high work disability rates are disputed by the main political parties. We address this question using a new high‐quality dataset. Potential endogeneity and reverse causation issues are addressed using the intensity of conflict‐related deaths as instruments. We find clear evidence that conflict has increased work disability by 28% points. The main doctor‐diagnosed medical condition mediating this effect is mental ill health.