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使用卡尔曼滤波和平滑进行因子提取:这不仅仅是另一篇综述

Factor extraction using Kalman filter and smoothing: This is not just another survey

International Journal of Forecasting · 2021
被引 30
ABS 3

中文导读

综述了在动态因子模型中用卡尔曼滤波和平滑提取潜在共同因子的方法,涵盖信号提取、参数估计和识别问题,适合宏观经济学和金融领域的实证研究者。

Abstract

Dynamic factor models have been the main “big data” tool used by empirical macroeconomists during the last 30 years. In this context, Kalman filter and smoothing (KFS) procedures can cope with missing data, mixed frequency data, time-varying parameters, non-linearities, non-stationarity, and many other characteristics often observed in real systems of economic variables. The main contribution of this paper is to provide a comprehensive updated summary of the literature on latent common factors extracted using KFS procedures in the context of dynamic factor models, pointing out their potential limitations. Signal extraction and parameter estimation issues are separately analyzed. Identification issues are also tackled in both stationary and non-stationary models. Finally, empirical applications are surveyed in both cases. This survey is relevant to researchers and practitioners interested not only in the theory of KFS procedures for factor extraction in dynamic factor models but also in their empirical application in macroeconomics and finance.

动态因子模型卡尔曼滤波宏观经济学计量经济学大数据