央行透明度、汇率与需求失衡

Central bank transparency, exchange rates, and demand imbalances

Journal of Monetary Economics · 2021
被引 14
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

研究央行透明度对汇率波动和福利的影响,发现完全市场下透明度总是改善福利,而不完全市场下透明度可能因加剧需求失衡而降低福利,最优透明度取决于贸易弹性。

Abstract

Do the benefits of central bank transparency depend on the structure of financial markets? We address this question in a two-country model with dispersed information among price-setting firms. The volatility of the real exchange rate is non-monotonic in the precision of public communications. Despite this non-monotonicity, under complete markets, greater provision of public information always improves welfare and full transparency is optimal. By contrast, under incomplete markets, more accurate public signals can decrease welfare by exacerbating the cost of cross-country demand imbalances. If the trade elasticity is low, optimal public announcements are intentionally imprecise.

中央银行透明度汇率需求失衡