非参数设定下DK-HAC估计量的同时带宽确定与长期方差估计

Simultaneous bandwidths determination for DK-HAC estimators and long-run variance estimation in nonparametric settings

Econometric Reviews · 2023
被引 4
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究了双核异方差自相关一致估计量中同时优化滞后自协方差和时间方向平滑带宽的方法,发现新方法在控制检验规模上优于现有方法,并验证了非参数设定下长期方差估计的一致性。

Abstract

We consider the derivation of data-dependent simultaneous bandwidths for double kernel heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (DK-HAC) estimators. In addition to the usual smoothing over lagged autocovariances for classical HAC estimators, the DK-HAC estimator also applies smoothing over the time direction. We obtain the optimal bandwidths that jointly minimize the global asymptotic MSE criterion and discuss the tradeoff between bias and variance with respect to smoothing over lagged autocovariances and over time. Unlike the MSE results of Andrews, we establish how nonstationarity affects the bias-variance tradeoff. We use the plug-in approach to construct data-dependent bandwidths for the DK-HAC estimators and compare them with the DK-HAC estimators from Casini that use data-dependent bandwidths obtained from a sequential MSE criterion. The former performs better in terms of size control, especially with stationary and close to stationary data. Finally, we consider long-run variance (LRV) estimation under the assumption that the series is a function of a nonparametric estimator rather than of a semiparametric estimator that enjoys the usual T rate of convergence. Thus, we also establish the validity of consistent LRV estimation in nonparametric parameter estimation settings.

DK-HAC估计量同时带宽非参数长期方差估计非平稳性