均衡外币抵押贷款

Equilibrium foreign currency mortgages

Review of Economic Dynamics · 2016
被引 0
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

提出债务限制渠道解释新兴经济体家庭为何偏好外币贷款,即使汇率贬值预期存在,并利用DSGE模型分析该渠道在不确定性下的影响。

Abstract

This paper proposes a novel explanation for why foreign currency denominated loansto households have become so popular in some emerging economies. Our argument isbased on what we call the debt limit channel, which arises when multi-period contractsare offered to financially constrained borrowers against collateral that is established onnewly acquired assets. Whenever the difference between domestic and foreign interestrates is positive, this channel biases borrowers' choices towards foreign currency, evenif the exchange rate is known to depreciate as implied by the interest parity condition.We next use a small open economy DSGE model to analyze how the debt limit channelaffects agents' choices under uncertainty. The model implies that, if first-order effectsrelated to the debt limit channel are neutralized by appropriate adjustment in debtcontracts, the equilibrium share of foreign currency loans is small.

外币抵押贷款债务限制渠道新兴经济体本外币利差