The great crime recovery: Crimes against women during, and after, the COVID-19 lockdown in Mexico
利用墨西哥全国市政级犯罪数据，研究发现封锁期间针对女性的性犯罪、赡养费拖欠和家庭暴力先下降后回升至疫情前水平，感染风险、受害者与罪犯匹配度及禁酒令与犯罪下降相关。
This paper considers whether the COVID-19 stay-at-home order affected crimes targeting women. To answer this question, we use national municipal-level crime data from Mexico's National Public Security System. The NPSS reports sexual crimes, lapses in alimony, domestic violence, and femicides. Using the NPSS, we track monthly changes in crimes targeting women using an event-study design. Our results show that lapses in alimony, sexual crimes, and domestic violence follow a U-shaped trend. Each crime declined during the stay-at-home order, and then rose back to pre-COVID levels by October. Then, we analyze potential mechanisms for the reduction in crimes against women. We find that infection risk, victim-criminal match, and banning the sale of alcohol are related to higher declines in crime.