基于观测和干预数据的上下文特定因果模型的表示

Representation of context-specific causal models with observational and interventional data

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology · 2025
被引 1
ABS 4

中文导读

提出CStree模型族,用于表示基于观测和实验数据的上下文特定因果模型,扩展了有向无环图模型,并给出等价性刻画和学习算法。

Abstract

Abstract We address the problem of representing context-specific causal models based on both observational and experimental data collected under general (e.g. hard or soft) interventions by introducing a new family of context-specific conditional independence models called CStrees. This family is defined via a novel factorization criterion that allows for a generalization of the factorization property defining general interventional directed acyclic graph (DAG) models. We derive a graphical characterization of model equivalence for observational CStrees that extends the Verma and Pearl criterion for DAGs. This characterization is then extended to CStree models under general, context-specific interventions. To obtain these results, we formalize a notion of context-specific intervention that can be incorporated into concise graphical representations of CStree models. We relate CStrees to other context-specific models, showing that the families of DAGs, CStrees, labelled DAGs, and staged trees form a strict chain of inclusions. We then present an algorithm for learning CStrees from a combination of observational and interventional data where the intervention targets are assumed to be unknown with hard or soft and possibly context-specific effects. The algorithm, evaluated on simulated and real data, performs well in the recovery of context-specific dependence structure as well as context-specific interventional perturbations.

因果推断图模型机器学习统计学