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两因素不确定下的不可逆投资问题研究

On an irreversible investment problem with two-factor uncertainty

Quantitative Finance · 2021
被引 12
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

研究一个利润最大化公司在两种产品价格均服从几何布朗运动时,如何通过实物期权模型做出最优不可逆投资决策,并给出项目价值和投资决策对参数的比较静态分析。

Abstract

We consider a real options model for the optimal irreversible investment problem of a profit-maximizing company. The company has the opportunity to invest in a production plant capable of producing two products, of which the prices follow two independent geometric Brownian motions. After paying a constant sunk investment cost, the company sells the products on the market and thus receives a continuous stochastic revenue flow. This investment problem is set as a two-dimensional optimal stopping problem. We find that the optimal investment decision is triggered by a convex curve, which we characterize as the unique continuous solution to a nonlinear integral equation. Furthermore, we provide analytical and numerical comparative statics results of the dependency of the project's value and investment decision with respect to the model's parameters.

实物期权最优停止投资决策随机过程