有限执行下的财政规则与自由裁量权

Fiscal Rules and Discretion Under Limited Enforcement

Econometrica · 2022
被引 44
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究了政府偏向公共支出时,社会如何通过财政规则平衡承诺与灵活性,在有限执行下最优激励是“要么全有要么全无”,且最优规则是最大程度执行的赤字上限。

Abstract

We study a fiscal policy model in which the government is present‐biased towards public spending. Society chooses a fiscal rule to trade off the benefit of committing the government to not overspend against the benefit of granting it flexibility to react to privately observed shocks to the value of spending. Unlike prior work, we examine rules under limited enforcement: the government has full policy discretion and can only be incentivized to comply with a rule via the use of penalties which are joint and bounded. We show that optimal incentives must be bang‐bang. Moreover, under a distributional condition, the optimal rule is a maximally enforced deficit limit, triggering the maximum feasible penalty whenever violated. Violation optimally occurs under high enough shocks if and only if available penalties are weak and such shocks are relatively unlikely. We derive comparative statics showing how rules should be calibrated to features of the environment.

财政规则有限执行赤字上限最优惩罚