The 1918 Influenza Pandemic and Its Lessons for COVID-19
回顾了1918年流感大流行的全球健康和经济后果,重点讨论因COVID-19而重新引起关注的议题,包括死亡率、生育率、经济影响以及非药物干预的作用,并指出未来研究方向。
This article reviews the global health and economic consequences of the 1918 influenza pandemic, with a particular focus on topics that have seen a renewed interest because of COVID-19. We begin by providing an overview of key contextual and epidemiological details as well as the data that are available to researchers. We then examine the effects on mortality, fertility, and the economy in the short and medium run. The role of non-pharmaceutical interventions in shaping those outcomes is discussed throughout. We then examine longer-lasting health consequences and their impact on human capital accumulation and socioeconomic status. Throughout the paper we highlight important areas for future work.