异质性主体模型的估计:一种似然方法

Estimation of Heterogeneous Agent Models: A Likelihood Approach

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics · 2022
被引 2
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

展示了如何利用福克-普朗克方程对异质性主体模型进行似然推断,通过蒙特卡洛实验研究最大似然估计的有限样本性质,并用美国消费者金融调查数据估计模型。

Abstract

Using a Bewley‐Hugget‐Aiyagari model we show how to use the Fokker‐Planck equation for likelihood inference in heterogeneous agent (HA) models. We study the finite sample properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in Monte Carlo experiments using cross‐sectional data on wealth and income. We use the Kullback–Leibler divergence to investigate identification problems that may affect inference. Unrestricted MLE leads to considerable biases of some parameters. Calibrating weakly identified parameters is shown to be useful to pin down the remaining structural parameters. We illustrate our approach by estimating the model for the US economy using the Survey of Consumer Finances.

异质性主体模型似然推断最大似然估计