移民技能与本地人投票:2007-2016年欧洲选举中的移民与民族主义

Skill of the immigrants and vote of the natives: Immigration and nationalism in European elections 2007–2016

European Economic Review · 2021
被引 30
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

研究了2007-2016年欧洲选举中,本地移民的技能水平如何影响本地人对民族主义政党的投票倾向,发现高技能移民减少民族主义投票,低技能移民则相反。

Abstract

We analyze the impact of local immigration on natives’ preferences for “nationalism” as measured in parties’ programs by the Manifesto Project Database in European election data between 2007 and 2016. Using a 2SLS strategy with a shift-share IV based on immigrant shares by origin in 2005 and inflows by education-origin groups, we estimate that larger inflows of highly-educated immigrants were associated with a decrease in the “nationalistic” vote of natives, while less-educated immigrants produced an opposite-direction shift towards nationalistic parties. The aggregate results derive from individual shifts toward nationalism in response to less-skilled immigration, and from greater participation of young voters and more pro-European attitudes in response to high-skilled immigration.

移民技能水平本土选民投票民族主义欧洲选举