中产阶级在哪里?来自1892-1992年6000万份英国死亡与遗嘱认证记录的证据

Where Is the Middle Class? Evidence from 60 Million English Death and Probate Records, 1892–1992

Journal of Economic History · 2021
被引 43 · 同刊同年前 9%
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

利用1892-1992年英国所有死亡与遗嘱认证的个体数据,发现20世纪的财富均等化在1950年代停滞,中位个体始终几乎无财富,1950年后不平等变化仅涉及前30%人群内部的财富重组。

Abstract

This article analyzes a newly constructed individual level dataset of every English death and probate from 1892–1992. This analysis shows that the twentieth century’s “Great Equalization” of wealth stalled in mid-century. The probate rate, which captures the proportion of English holding any significant wealth at death rose from 10 percent in the 1890s to 40 percent by 1950 and has stagnated to 1992. Despite the large declines in the wealth share of the top 1 percent, from 73 to 20 percent, the median English individual died with almost nothing throughout. All changes in inequality after 1950 involve a reshuffling of wealth within the top 30 percent. I translate the individual level data to synthetic households; the majority have at least one member probated. Yet the bottom 60 percent of households hold only 12 percent of all wealth, at their peak wealth-holding level, in the early 1990s. I also compare the new wealth data with existing estimates of top wealth shares, home-ownership trends, wealth survey distributions, aggregate wealth, and the wealth Gini coefficient.

财富不平等遗嘱认证率中产阶级英国