货币政策向住房市场传导的实证研究

On the transmission of monetary policy to the housing market

European Economic Review · 2022
被引 35 · 同刊同年前 10%
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

利用德国、意大利和瑞士的家庭数据,研究发现货币政策冲击对住房市场的影响在国家和区域间存在显著差异,瑞士的传导效应强于德国和意大利,意大利北部地区强于南部。

Abstract

We provide empirical evidence on the heterogeneous transmission of monetary policy to the housing market across and within countries. We use household-level data from Germany, Italy and Switzerland together with the respective monetary policy shocks identified from high-frequency data. We find that the pass-through of monetary policy shocks to rates of newly originated (fixed-rate) mortgages is twice as strong in Switzerland as in Germany and Italy. After an accommodative monetary policy shock, this is associated in the housing market with a larger immediate, and persistent increase of transitions from renting to owning; a stronger decrease in rents; and an increase of the price–rent ratio. Within Italy, we find a stronger pass-through to mortgage rates, housing tenure transitions and the price–rent ratio in the northern regions that have been characterized in the literature as more financially developed than the southern regions.

货币政策传导住房市场抵押贷款利率住房自有率转换租金价格比